Variables such as market volatility and evolving geopolitical landscapes exert notable influence on startup growth dynamics.
An effective risk management move is identifying opportunities in the face of adversity
Here are some financial instruments and strategies for startups to hedge against risks
The global startup ecosystem pulsates with vitality, with a staggering number of over 150 Mn+ startups. This thriving environment, however, is not without its challenges. The failure of almost 90% of startups indicates that a good idea may not be enough for a startup’s success.
One of the challenges startups encounter during their growth trajectory revolves around effectively managing financial risks. Ensuring sufficient cash flow is imperative to sustain operational continuity, mitigate the risk of bankruptcy, and facilitate access to further financing.
Moreover, variables such as market volatility and evolving geopolitical landscapes exert notable influence on startup growth dynamics.
The edtech sector in India presents a suitable case study on how favourable market conditions coupled with ample funding facilitate smoother operational continuity and vice versa.
According to Inc42’s “Inside India’s $29 Bn+ Edtech Opportunity” report 2023, between 2014 and 2019, the sector grew with $1.5 Bn in funding. With the outbreak of the pandemic, the boom in demand for e-learning solutions resulted in funding worth $1.4 Bn in 2020.
By 2021, India was projected as the edtech capital of the world, with $4.7 Bn funding in 2021. The fortunes for the sector reversed by 2022 when schools reopened, and online learning took a hit.
Furthermore, the boom had flooded the sector with high competition, pushing prices and profit margins downward, affecting profitability, and dissuading potential investors. As a result, by 2023, the funding dropped to $283 Mn in 2023 compared to $2.4 Bn in 2022, a massive 88% YoY decline. In the meantime, the sector has seen the highest layoffs in the past two years, with the sacking of more than 14,616 employees by the end of 2023.
The Relevance Of Risk Management From Potential Financial Downturns
In 2021, India reported the highest funding, with $42 Bn and the creation of 45 new unicorns, but by 2023, the funding dropped by 60% year-on-year. Several global events, ranging from the Russia-Ukraine war to the Israel-Palestine conflict, have further elongated the funding winter.
Such market volatility significantly impacts businesses and entrepreneurs in the early development stage. With proactive risk management, startups can adapt to dynamic market conditions and avoid or minimise any financial impact arising from such situations.
Some of these measures include adopting relevant technologies, integrating consumer preferences into your products and services, and adhering to regulatory requirements.
As the market environment changes, another effective risk management move is identifying opportunities in the face of adversity. For example, the swift adoption of digital processes during the pandemic outbreak allowed numerous companies to thrive rather than suffer losses from office closures.
This early adoption of digital solutions presents a strategic advantage in the market. Businesses can also safeguard themselves by identifying risks early on using SWOT analysis or other such techniques. It will position the startups better for long-term sustainability.
Lastly, startups mostly work with limited resources, and it becomes even more challenging if the market conditions are not suitable, making them vulnerable to any financial disruptions. Risk management can help them allocate optimum resources and mitigate potential threats that could lead to financial strain or operational bottlenecks.
Financial Instruments And Strategies For Startups To Hedge Against Risks
Starting the transition from the idea of a startup to a robust hedging strategy requires a comprehensive method that is a mix of market analysis and risk evaluation. The first step would be to delineate specific risks.
For example, a tech startup providing services overseas could face difficulty due to currency fluctuations. Identifying this risk early on would allow the startup to explore hedging instruments like forward contracts to eliminate losses.
The next step is building a strategy aligned with the company’s aims and risk tolerance, comprising a mix of financial instruments like derivatives and insurance contracts. For instance, an AgriTech startup can use commodity futures contracts to stabilise price volatility in raw materials, ensuring consistent profit margins.
Other strategies include interest rate swaps or caps. If a startup is raising debt funding (loan from banks or venture debt firms or through a line of credit) and faces interest rate fluctuations and forex exposure, impacting the borrowing costs, interest rate swaps or caps can help with variable-rate loans to swap to fixed rates or cap the maximum interest rate.
Similarly, a startup with a foreign currency-denominated loan can use a currency swap to eliminate the exposure to exchange rate risk.
Startup founders and early employees holding significant equity stakes make startups vulnerable to stock price fluctuations during an IPO. Collars, put options, or structured products can protect against downside risk without sacrificing potential gains.
Similarly, options like convertible notes or simple agreements for future equity (SAFEs) provide flexibility during the early stages of startups without immediate ownership dilution.
Once a strategy is in place, executing a hedging strategy involves setting up necessary accounts, engaging with brokers or financial institutions and starting the hedging transactions. It also involves continuous monitoring of these positions and adjusting as per the changing market conditions.
The hedging strategy should remain dynamic. As the startup expands and market conditions change, the strategy must be reviewed and adjusted accordingly. This could involve assuming more or less risk based on the company’s performance and the overall economic environment.
Technological Advancements Revolutionising Risk Management
Technological advancements empower startups with new tools to proactively identify potential risks, develop contingency plans and tackle risk management. To identify potential risks and predict their likelihood of occurrence, AI algorithms can analyse vast amounts of data (historical data, market trends, customer behaviour). It also helps to detect anomalies in financial transactions or operations, thus mitigating the risks associated with fraud. It can continuously monitor financial transactions, inventory levels, and other critical data points.
Blockchain technology enables the use of smart contracts – self-executing agreements that trigger actions automatically upon fulfilling pre-defined conditions. This prevents the requirement for intermediaries, reduces transaction costs, and streamlines financial processes.
Startups can also leverage Decentralised Finance (DeFi) platforms for various financial services, such as borrowing and lending, without traditional financial institutions. This can reduce counterparty risks and improve transparency. Blockchain also provides a temper-proof ledger of all transactions, ensuring data integrity and fostering trust between startups and investors.
Conclusion
Navigating financial risk hedging strategies is crucial for startups amidst the dynamic and competitive landscape of entrepreneurship. With the majority of startups facing the risk of failure, proactive risk management becomes imperative to ensure long-term sustainability and success.
By identifying specific risks early on and implementing tailored hedging strategies, startups can mitigate financial uncertainties and optimise resource allocation. Embracing technological advancements further enhances risk management capabilities, empowering startups to adapt to changing market conditions and seize opportunities for growth.
