SUMMARY
Methodology used is totally different from what was followed earlier: Kant
Govt is preparing the report in a quarter by quarter manner
The government is set to release the employment survey report by March
Amid a furore caused by the latest job survey by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) that reported a record surge in the unemployment rate, the government think tank NITI Aayog countered it by saying “jobs are being created,” and the government is releasing its employment report in March, this year.
NITI Aayog CEO Amitabh Kanth during a recent press meet countered the NSSO’s report saying that the methodology used was totally different from what was followed earlier.
“You cannot compare 2011-12 data with the current NSSO data. Between 2011-12, studies were made once in a five years. To say that it has dipped is totally incorrect because the methodology used is totally different from what was followed earlier,” Kant said.
According to Kant, NITI Aayog is preparing the report in a quarter-by-quarter manner. He said that report of four quarters has been done. While talking about job creation, Kant said that the cab businesses Ola and Uber alone have created about 2.2 Mn jobs.
“It is necessary to evaluate one quarter with another quarter to find out what is the change. Has there been incremental growth or decline? That’s all we are saying,” he added.
According to NSSO’s periodic labour force survey (PLFS) of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, India’s unemployment rate hit a 45-year-high of 6.1% in 2017-18. Of which, the unemployment rate was higher in urban areas (7.8%) as compared to 5.3% in rural areas of the country, NSSO noted.
Here’s a brief rundown of NSSO’s latest employment data, as per a media report:
- Educated rural females unemployment rate ranged between 9.7% and 15.2% between 2004-05 to 2011-12
- This rose to 17.3% in 2017-18
- The unemployment rate for rural educated males surged to 10.5% in 2017-18 from 3.5-4.4% between 2004-05 to 2011-12
- The population working or seeking jobs declined from 36.9% in 2017-18 as against 39.5 per cent in 2011-12
NITI Aayog is of the opinion that a good number of jobs are being created. Citing reports by the Society of Indian Automobile (SIAM), Tractor Mechanisation Association (TMA), Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO), Ministry of Tourism, Kant announced the statistics in a press gathering, as follows —
- Between 2014 and 18, over 14.62 Mn jobs have been created
- Of which the transport sector contributed almost 3.4 Mn jobs
- Cab businesses Ola and Uber added about 2.2 Mn jobs and,
- Between 2017 and 18, close to 7.9 Mn jobs have been created in all age groups
- Of which, 4.8 Mn jobs were created for 18-25 age group and,
- IT sector contributed close to 1.5 Mn jobs
- Government’s Mudra loan scheme offered INR 15.43 Cr loans to MSMEs
- Of which, INR 4 Cr burrowers were new entrepreneurs and
- 90% and 70% of the loan were given to Sishu and Women categories
- Road construction has increased adding 3 Mn jobs in FY 2018
“So, are we saying that no jobs are being created. This to my mind is unbelievable,” Kant asserted.
NITI Aayog vice-chairman Rajiv Kumar said that the quarterly employment data for the July-December 2018 period (two quarters) are still being processed and the government would release the employment survey report by March “after collating quarter-on-quarter data”.
“We need a much better quality of data, and this is now being collected and processed and will be available in March, this year,” he added.
The debate over employment reached its peak when two independent members of the National Statistical Commission (NSC), PC Mohanan and JV Meenakshi, resigned on January 29, reportedly over a disagreement with the government.
“We have resigned from the NSC. Over the months, we have been feeling that we were not been taken seriously and being sidelined by the government. Recent decisions of the NSC were not being implemented,” Business Today cited Mohan.
