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Mission Possible? How Close Is India To Achieving Its EV Vision 2030

Mission Possible? How Close Is India To Achieving Its EV Vision 2030

India’s goal of 30% penetration for electric vehicles by 2030 looks a tall order given the current rate of adoption

2 wheelers, 3 wheelers, small commercial 4 wheelers, last-mile transportation segment and intracity buses are expected to drive EV growth in India

The focus for automakers such as Mahindra and Tata is to develop EV technology indigenously rather than importing

The stage has been set for electric vehicle transition and startups are leading the drive. With a target of 30% penetration of electric vehicles on Indian roads by 2030, the market is ready for India’s EV ecosystem to take charge, but the initial developments have not spurred on market demand for EVs yet.

The government launched the second phase of the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (FAME 2) scheme, with an outlay of INR 10K Cr. It aims to give the necessary push to EVs to curb pollution afflicting major cities and cut down the oil imports. FAME has put a healthy number of electric 2W, 3W, buses and some BEV and mild hybrid cars on Indian roads. In FY 2019, more than 750K EVs were sold with a total of 7,59,600 units which includes electric two-wheelers (126K), electric three-wheelers (6,30K) and electric passenger vehicles (3,600).

According to Datalabs by Inc42 Electric‌ ‌Vehicle‌ ‌Market‌ ‌Outlook‌ ‌Report,‌ ‌2020‌, the capital inflow in electric vehicle startups has grown exponentially between 2014 and 2019. Taking the outlier funding rounds into consideration, the total capital inflow in the electric vehicle sector was at $601 Mn whereas the capital inflow into electric vehicle startups peaked at $394 Mn in 2019. But in the global scheme of things, the Indian market is woefully short of leaders such as China or Norway.

As a result, there’s an increased focus on developing the ecosystem for EV component manufacturing, value creation to increase brand appeal, especially for low voltage electric drivetrains and batteries. The transition is happening, however, the bigger question is when will it happen and who will lead the journey?